The jokes are flying thick and fast about tomorrow's Election Day falling on April Fool's. Goodness knows, there are plenty of fools around these days in politics, government and public affairs. So, so many. But tomorrow is another opportunity to vote them out — or at least, send a message.
The Wisconsin Supreme Court race is top of mind, and not just because every time we see the name of the Trumpy Republican candidate, we think it's "Schlemiel." (Seems about right.) It's because the Tesla Turd is pouring a ton of money into the state. Hey, last we checked, paying people to vote was illegal. But anyway.
Two special elections in Florida are also getting a lot of attention. One is for Matt Gaetz's former seat in FL-01. Forget it, everybody. We have a great candidate, but we're not going to win that one. The other is for Mike "Signalgate" Waltz's former seat in FL-06. That one's interesting, and the GOP is officially fretting over it. Here's how The Hill, which is not typically friendly to Democrats, put it: "Republicans Look to Avert Humiliation in Florida Special Election."
Reasons? Nobody expected the Democratic contender, Josh Weil, to be able to raise zillions of dollars. He's a schoolteacher, for heaven's sake! And Republicans were undoubtedly surprised to see an internal poll from the GOP firm Fabrizio Ward that put Weil over their icky candidate, Randy Fine, by three points. Sure, it's only one poll, but this is a Trump +30 district. Pretty amazing.
So, going into Tuesday, here's our take.
In FL-06, any victory that Republicans notch by less than 15 percentage points will be a win for us. A victory by less than 10 percent? A big win for us. Less than five? HUGE. (And yes, Weil could out-and-out snag the seat, which we'd be thrilled to see. But don't count on it.)
In FL-01, a Republican win of less than 65 percent of the vote will be a loss for them. By less than 60 percent, a big loss. By less than 55 percent... well, as The Hill might say, HUMILIATING.
Keep your eye on what veterans and seniors do — that'll be key in both districts. Paws are crossed! We cats PURR.
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