By Hubie and Bertie
Benedict Donald spoke at the NRCC fundraising dinner last night, an event that (they say) raised billions and billions for the midterms and that gave attending Republicans multiple opportunities to pat themselves on the back. (Did losing the Florida house district that includes Mar-a-Lago get mentioned? Hmmm.)
And now, this: Sabato's Crystal Ball just moved 11 Democratic US House ratings for 2026 — and all in our direction. Eight went from "likely" Democratic to "safe" Democratic. Two went from "lean" Democratic to "likely" Democratic. One went from "toss-up" to "lean." Here are some Inside Baseball details that are especially satisfying.
The seats occupied by Democrats Pat Ryan (NY-18), Josh Gottheimer (NJ-5), and John Mannion (NY-22) were all flips for us in recent cycles. And now Sabato says they're safe. Take those off the table, GOP.
Republicans had been kinda hoping to pick up Angie Craig's open seat (MN-02) because she's running for Senate. Now it's likely Democratic. Looks like GOP strategists will have to do some reassessing.
Two of the 11 seats Sabato moved are in Ohio. The redistricting there was supposed to make it easier for the Republicans to pick them up. But OH-01 is the toss-up that changed to lean, and OH-13 went from lean to likely. And the seat in Western Maryland, MD-06, always appears on the GOP's wish list because it's in, well, Western Maryland. Sorry, Republicans: Sabato says it's safe for us now.
All of this means that 1) we can focus our resources elsewhere, and 2) the Trumpsters just got slapped in the face after their big dinner last night. Now they'll have to take another look at their map and wring their hands. But that's politics: The allocation of scarce resources among competing choices. We cats PURR.








