Thursday, September 5, 2024

Surge

By Zamboni

Benedict Donald spoke at the Economic Club of New York this afternoon and, you guessed it, made no sense. Here, verbatim, is his answer to how he plans to make child care more affordable. (We'd embed it, but we have something else to post about right now, so you'll just have to click the link.)

We'd say it was jaw-dropping, but it's actually more proof that Trump's handlers can no longer let him loose upon the world. They're putting him out in public selectively, hoping for the best. But if he doesn't ramble nonsensically, he's positively somnambulant. Check out how flat he was today, and you'll see just how much he was projecting when he called President Biden "Sleepy Joe."

But none of that is our problem. We Democrats have been working hard, organizing, and meeting online to plan our next steps for winning in November. We attended just such a Zoom call last night, and picked up some super-interesting information to share. Mainly, that new voter registrations across the country absolutely skyrocketed after July 21.

What happened on that date? President Biden ended his candidacy and endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris. After which huge numbers of people felt inspired to register (and getting registered is a reliable indication of high turnout rates). The biggest increases were among young women of color, Hispanics, and Black Americans. The data dude on our Zoom call said it was "a tripling of numbers from 2020."

This didn't just happen in swing and blue states — although the reporting included Michigan, North Carolina, and Wisconsin. We're still waiting to hear what the numbers are from Georgia, Arizona, and Pennsylvania. (Also, Florida will be fun to look at.)

The other nugget of information that got our attention was this: New voter registrations since July 21 won't be fully processed for another few weeks, so these newbies won't show up as likely voters in poll results for awhile. (Pollsters rely on voter rolls to compile their call lists.) It's entirely possible we'll see a further bump for Harris as the enthusiasm of these newly minted voters seeps into the data.

As one of our favorite follows has observed, "Every scintilla, every microcosm, every nanoparticle of every narrative on the Trump and Trump-friendly side totally depend upon the continued preservation of the notion that this election is close. Once it's deemed 'not close,' the Trump myth crumbles like a house of cards." Team Trump has every reason to dread the day that polling catches up to registrations.

But as the Harris campaign says, all gas, no brakes. Let's keep working — making calls, knocking doors, writing letters and postcards, and talking to our friends, co-workers and neighbors. (Just don't try to give them Donald Trump's plan on affordable child care.) We cats PURR.

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