By Sniffles
Well, if the media coverage is to be believed, Republicans are dragging themselves to the polls in Illinois today.
The GOP primary nightmare won't quit: They don't like their candidates, who are talking nonsense about all the wrong things, and losers like Gingrich and Paul just won't go away. All of which bring Cheshire-cat smiles to our furry faces.
Nevertheless, we cats will go out on a limb (again!) and make some predictions for today's depressing GOP exercise in Illinois.
1. Even with three competitive Republican Congressional primaries, we suspect that statewide turnout will be low. But Illinois has never been an important primary for the Republicans, so by historical comparison, the numbers might not look atrocious.
2. Fatigue has set in for the casual Republican voter. This will help Ricky "Don't Google My Name" Santorum, a tad.
3. Some of Willard Mitt Romney's weaker supporters won't show up, since their guy is now expected to win. Again, this will help Ricky Don't Google Me, a tinch.
4. As in Tennessee, Alabama and Mississippi, you'll see a fair number of people who vote strategically to keep the race going. Ditto.
So, bottom line: We cats think Ricky should once again outperform the most recent PPP poll of Illinois voters. But we doubt he could make up a 15-point deficit. He should, though, be able to spin, say, a five-point loss as a moral/strategic victory against a guy who outspent him a zillion to one — and who had every high-ranking elected leader either publicly (or quietly, from the sidelines) supporting him.
If Illinois is reasonably close, then Ricky can challenge Willard to try to knock him off in Louisiana on Saturday — to prove, once and for all, that Willard can win one-on-one against a true conservative in a reliably Republican state.
After today, we'll revisit the results to see if we can climb off this limb by ourselves — or if someone should call the fire department.
Tuesday, March 20, 2012
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