When we cats thought about how to predict the Iowa clown caucus on Tuesday, we were torn: Should we say what we want to have happen, or what we think probably will happen? Happily, is looks as if those two choices may be converging.
Thanks to the latest results from The Des Moines Register poll, we're going to go out on a limb and say that Rick "Don't Google My Name" Santorum will win. Late numbers from this past Thursday and Friday show Rick "That's An African Proverb" Santorum rising to 21 percent — trailing only Willard Mitt Romney.
In other words, Rick "Man on Dog" Santorum is definitely surging. But here are two reasons we think he'll continue to do so:
Romney and Ron Paul have no room to grow. They've hit their respective ceilings (in fact, Romney's been running for President since the beginning of time and he's never been able to rise past a quarter of the vote.) Neither is going to poach much support from divided Christian evangelicals. If caucusgoers are going to desert Perry, Bachmann and Gingrich, they'll do it for Santorum — not for Romney or Paul.
Iowa likes to surprise.
Yes, we cats occasionally go out on the wrong limb and then have to be rescued by the nice men from the fire department. But we're thinking that maybe come Tuesday, we can climb down by ourselves.
P.S. Another prediction while we're at it: When Senator Rand Paul steps off that plane in Iowa tomorrow, consider the 2016 Republican race officially kicked off. (Unless, of course, you count that offensive speech Chris Christie gave for Romney the other day.)
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