Monday, May 2, 2016
From the What-You'd-Expect Department: Donald Trump sure is boasting a lot. Lately, he's been claiming that he's going to win in November even if the Republican Party is fractured (which it will be).
Nope, sorry. Despite Trump's crowing about all the white men he's allegedly driving to the GOP, the numerical odds dictate that he'd still need to win 70 percent of them to prevail in the fall. Daunting, to say the least.
Meanwhile, it is a truth universally acknowledged (and just discovered by the young Cillizza lad over at The Washington Post) that if Hillary Clinton wins Florida and the states that have voted Democratic since 1992, Donald Trump — or whoever the Republican nominee is — will be a... loser.
Cap it off by this smackdown poll of Hillary leading Trump and Cruz by 11-13 points in the Sunshine State and, we'd say, things look pretty good. (Yes, it's only May, but we'll take it.)
So, since Trump isn't exactly an expert on electoral politics, we cats are waiting for information that will convince us that he's a sure bet to beat Clinton in the general. We're talking actual proof here — in the form of poll numbers, demonstrable organizing activity, "hell-no" anti-Hillary declarations from key Democratic constituency groups, a sudden turnaround for Donald among Hispanic voters, pro-Trump editorials from the likes of The Tampa Bay Times, the Sun-Sentinel and the Gainesville Sun, etc. When stuff like that happens, we'll get worried.
Which is not to say that we're going to rest easy. Fear not: We'll be out there — registering voters, knocking on doors, driving people to the polls — because although we love chickens, we don't believe in counting them before they hatch. But what a great start! We cats PURR.